Engineered using contemporary data from the STS General Thoracic Surgery Database, the new esophagectomy for cancer risk calculator allows surgeons and multidisciplinary medical providers to estimate a patient’s individualized risk in real-time, based on specific factors such as tumor characteristics, comorbidities, and procedures performed. As patient factors are added by the user, the risk estimates of morbidity and mortality are dynamically calculated along with 95% confidence intervals.
The esophagectomy for cancer risk calculator is powered by enhanced STS esophagectomy for cancer risk models using data from 18,503 patients across 254 hospitals between January 2015 and December 2022. This cohort is four times larger than that used in previous models, resulting in more precise estimations and broader applicability. Key updates include the incorporation of new risk factors such as preoperative cancer staging and body surface area.
Questions? Contact the STS Research and Analytic Center.